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U.S. Elections Predictions thread
Topic Started: Feb 5 2008, 01:51 PM (235 Views)
STC
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Commodore
Right... before 'Super Tuesday' is up if possible, it would be interesting to see who we think are going to win their respective party nominations, and eventually become the next President of the United States.

Post your predictions on this thread, here are mine. :)

Democrat nomination: Barak Obama
Republican nomination: John McCain

President: Barak Obama (Democrat)
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Dandandat
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Time to put something here
Democrat nomination: Clinton
Republican nomination: McCain

President: To close to call. Which unfortunately will mean anther 4 to 8 years of childish talk about stolen elections.
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ds9074
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Admiral
My prediction now (I know its cheating as its after Super Tuesday) is;

The Democratic ticket will be Clinton for President, Obama for Vice President.

The Dems race will be very close, possibly comming down to the so called Super Delegates and/or those 'no seats' Florida delegates but Hillary will just about win. In order to prevent a split in the party and limit the disappointment amoung Obama's movement he will be offered the Vice President slot.

The Republican ticket will be McCain for President, Huckabee for Vice President. McCain will win the nomination fairly easily, Huckabee will be a solid third and will be rewarded by McCain for staying in with the Vice President slot.

The Democrats will win the General Election by a fairly narrow margin but wider than the last two elections. Hillary will get out the core Dem support and Obama will help reach out to independents and rural voters.

McCain and Huckabee will put off enough of the conservative Republican base that they dont turn out or vote for third party candidates - countering any appeal McCain has to independents.

This time next year Hillary Clinton will be President of the United States and Barack Obama Vice President.

Now prove me wrong B} .
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rowskid86
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Suck my Spock
If clinton wins we might as well see if we can be an honorary memebr of the Socialist EU.

with her we kiss goodbye to small government, Be ready to be regulated to death, Kiss the 2nd amendment goodbye. Kiis actually punished Terrorists and Criminals. Kiss standing up for ourselves. and basically become the French.
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Dandandat
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Time to put something here
ds9074
Feb 6 2008, 09:53 AM
Now prove me wrong B} .

;)


I don’t know if Obama will want to be Clintons VP. His “message”, as far as he has one, has been about change and doing away with old politics. He would be a sell out if he became Clinton’s lackey ever changing the truth about his message.

I don’t think McCain will chose Huckabee for VP; Huckabee doesn’t help him any. I think McCain will chose a person not on the seen at this time. Someone who is undependably conservative and has been strong on illegal immigration.

I question the idea that McCain will polarize the conservative base and case them to stay home. Some may be upset now because their man isn’t winning and are saying some damming things, but next year will be a whole new ball game and when faced with the possibility of a real Clinton presidency they will come around even if begrudgingly.

Clinton has two very decisive marks against her,

First she is a woman, and as much as we would like to think it’s not a factor, it is and it will be very hard for the first woman president to become president no matter who she is.

Second she is not a likable person regardless of her gender and she has already polarized the country. This means her potential poll of possible votes is already limited. Couple that with the first point and she has some serious issues to deal with.

Compare that to Obama, he’s black and has to deal with that, but he is an all around likable guy the two issues cancel each other out. Also him as a VP will not help Clinton become more likable nor to not be a woman anymore. So he can’t help her there.

My prediction is that any momentum the Democratic Party has after the last 8 years of republican rule (which has been marred on its own in the last two years) will be canceled out by Clinton’s negatives and that McCain’s problems with conservatives will all but go away as we reach November. There for we will have a clean slate race, neither party having an advantage out side there own makings.

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Hoss
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Don't make me use my bare hands on you.
Today I am practicing holding my nose with one hand and doing things wiht the other hand in preparation for November.
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Admiralbill_gomec
UberAdmiral
Dandandat
Feb 6 2008, 11:10 AM
ds9074
Feb 6 2008, 09:53 AM
Now prove me wrong  B} .

;)


I don’t know if Obama will want to be Clintons VP. His “message”, as far as he has one, has been about change and doing away with old politics. He would be a sell out if he became Clinton’s lackey ever changing the truth about his message.

I don’t think McCain will chose Huckabee for VP; Huckabee doesn’t help him any. I think McCain will chose a person not on the seen at this time. Someone who is undependably conservative and has been strong on illegal immigration.

I question the idea that McCain will polarize the conservative base and case them to stay home. Some may be upset now because their man isn’t winning and are saying some damming things, but next year will be a whole new ball game and when faced with the possibility of a real Clinton presidency they will come around even if begrudgingly.

Clinton has two very decisive marks against her,

First she is a woman, and as much as we would like to think it’s not a factor, it is and it will be very hard for the first woman president to become president no matter who she is.

Second she is not a likable person regardless of her gender and she has already polarized the country. This means her potential poll of possible votes is already limited. Couple that with the first point and she has some serious issues to deal with.

Compare that to Obama, he’s black and has to deal with that, but he is an all around likable guy the two issues cancel each other out. Also him as a VP will not help Clinton become more likable nor to not be a woman anymore. So he can’t help her there.

My prediction is that any momentum the Democratic Party has after the last 8 years of republican rule (which has been marred on its own in the last two years) will be canceled out by Clinton’s negatives and that McCain’s problems with conservatives will all but go away as we reach November. There for we will have a clean slate race, neither party having an advantage out side there own makings.

I agree. I doubt sincerely that Obama would ever by Hillary's VP. Just won't happen. Any more than Romney would be McCain's (or vice versa).

It will be Hillary against McCain, unfortunately.

It will be a close election and I can't quite predict it. McCain will get "Dole'd" (in the 1996 election Dole was portrayed as a crotchety old man going senile) by the "mainstream" media. Hillary has too high a negative rating. She is the most disliked woman in America.
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Franko
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Shower Moderator
Admiralbill_gomec
Feb 6 2008, 05:48 PM
Dandandat
Feb 6 2008, 11:10 AM
ds9074
Feb 6 2008, 09:53 AM
Now prove me wrong  B} .

;)


I don’t know if Obama will want to be Clintons VP. His “message”, as far as he has one, has been about change and doing away with old politics. He would be a sell out if he became Clinton’s lackey ever changing the truth about his message.

I don’t think McCain will chose Huckabee for VP; Huckabee doesn’t help him any. I think McCain will chose a person not on the seen at this time. Someone who is undependably conservative and has been strong on illegal immigration.

I question the idea that McCain will polarize the conservative base and case them to stay home. Some may be upset now because their man isn’t winning and are saying some damming things, but next year will be a whole new ball game and when faced with the possibility of a real Clinton presidency they will come around even if begrudgingly.

Clinton has two very decisive marks against her,

First she is a woman, and as much as we would like to think it’s not a factor, it is and it will be very hard for the first woman president to become president no matter who she is.

Second she is not a likable person regardless of her gender and she has already polarized the country. This means her potential poll of possible votes is already limited. Couple that with the first point and she has some serious issues to deal with.

Compare that to Obama, he’s black and has to deal with that, but he is an all around likable guy the two issues cancel each other out. Also him as a VP will not help Clinton become more likable nor to not be a woman anymore. So he can’t help her there.

My prediction is that any momentum the Democratic Party has after the last 8 years of republican rule (which has been marred on its own in the last two years) will be canceled out by Clinton’s negatives and that McCain’s problems with conservatives will all but go away as we reach November. There for we will have a clean slate race, neither party having an advantage out side there own makings.

I agree. I doubt sincerely that Obama would ever by Hillary's VP. Just won't happen. Any more than Romney would be McCain's (or vice versa).

It will be Hillary against McCain, unfortunately.

It will be a close election and I can't quite predict it. McCain will get "Dole'd" (in the 1996 election Dole was portrayed as a crotchety old man going senile) by the "mainstream" media. Hillary has too high a negative rating. She is the most disliked woman in America.



Yeah, I tend to agree with the Admiral here. I wish things would be different for America, but I'm afraid that the US media will crown Hillary president in the end; just get that feeling.

I also don't believe that Obama will play "sidekick" to a President Hillary. I don't know how Barack would respond to such a situation; he might even pass on Secretary Of State, and plan his future run for 2012.

I also fear that Mr. Romney might not be the VP selection by John McCain, which again is unfortunate. I think Romney is solid, stable and rational, and can be a big picture guy. As president I think he would err on the side of caution. By contrast, I think Huckabee is nothing more than a used car salesman. Just like John Edwards is an opportunistic hot-shot whose personality just doesn't make an impression.





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HistoryDude
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Shaken, not stirred...
What about Guliani[sp?] for the Rep. VP? Or are the Rep. either sure they'll win New York, or sure that he won't help in New York? Though doesn't Guliani have a strong, albeit limited, support outside of NY, too, that could help garner votes for McCain...?

I think the Democratic VP will be a fairly innoculous, low-name from the party...
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captain_proton_au
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A Robot in Disguise

Too bad Rice didnt run, the way this campaign is unfolding, it would have been her best chance to be Pres
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Fesarius
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Admiral
^^^
Agreed. I could have been persuaded to have voted for her, even though I disagree on a few key issues.
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